Another week, another time for me to spend 2 hours checking the minor league stats of Rod Barajas.
Around The Diamond...
C- Rod Barajas
Barajas had a few good seasons with Texas and since then has been relegated to back up duty and has not been a fantasy worthy name. In 92 at bats this season, Barajas is doing his best to make himself relevant again. He has 5HR to go along with 17RBI and 12R, for the Toronto Blue Jays, and has found himself as the everyday starter with regular Greg Zaun on the DL. He is having a far superior season to Zaun and might have found himself a way to remain in the line up at C or even DH when Zaun returns.
VERDICT
Barajas might actually be a decent addition as the Blue Jays are starved for offense and he will get at bats so long he produces. if you are hard up for catching help go out and grab Barajas, who still might be able to reproduce the effectiveness he showed in seasons past.
1B- Chad Tracy
Tracy came on a few seasons ago and had a huge first year. Since then he hasn't done a whole lot and has become a utility player as Conor Jackson and Mark Reynolds now man the corner infield spots for Arizona. Thus far in only 20 at bats, he is hitting an even .300 with 2HR and 3RBI, prompting many to add him in their league in the hopes he can reclaim the magic he showed in season past.
VERDICT
I am not buying the hot start. He won't be starting once Connor Jackson comes back and the talk of him moving to the outfield will fizzle when Eric Byrnes comes back healthy as well. He is going to have to hit to earn his way back into the everyday line up and that will be difficult for him when he is constantly shifting to different positions as a super utility man.
2B Alexi Casilla
Casilla has had a few cups of coffee in the majors over the last two seasons and is now getting the everyday starting job at 2B while hitting second in the line up to help Carlos Gomez provide a spark and speed at the top. Casilla can steal a bag and knows how to draw a walk, making him serviceable at least in most leagues, especially if your current 2B is injured or struggling. He needs the everyday at bats to keep the average up and the stolen bases should come at a greater frequency oce he gets settled in. Believe it or not the one thing that could slow his speed down is having Carlos Gomez on base ahead of him, as the Twins would be more reluctant to have him run if it's a double steal, and the risk to be thrown out at third grows.
VERDICT
I like Casilla. I checked out the numbers and think he can do some things out there. Don't expect the power he has flashed early on, but he can slap the ball around and plays well hitting in front of Joe Mauer, and Justin Morneau. While the RBIs will slow down, he will still get a decent amount because of the aforementioned Gomez, and his speed in front of him.
3B Ian Stewart
Listed at 3B and playing 2B, this is another example of an immensely talented young player on Colorado's roster. The Rox have been trying to find a place for him on the big league roster, but he has been blocked by incumbent Garret Atkins. The banged up middle infield finally gave Stewart enough of a shot to get in there and Colorado seems bent on giving him every opportunity to succeed and show what he can do there.
VERDICT
Based on his minor league stats Stewart is a threat to hit the long ball, and also be able steal a base. He has some very good numbers in the minors, but the change of position in addition to the adjustment of going from hitting minor league pitching to major league pitching might be abit more than Steart can handle this early in his young career. Don't expect great things from him yet, but next season he might be a great young sleeper pick, who is both 3B
and 2B eligible.
SS Jhonny Peralta
Can hit the long ball and finish with a decent amount of RBI but does nothing to distinguish himself as a SS. In 2005 many thought his 21HR, 78 RBI campaign was a precursor of things to come with the next great SS. Instead all that season did was serve as was a reason for Peralta owners to get frustrated and bewildered by hsi lack of ability to grow as a hitter, to the point where he actually regressed.
The 11HR look good this season, but he only has 20RBI total to go along with a .241AVG. He is currently in a hot streak where he has collected hits and scored runs by the bunches and has given fantasy owners yet another reason to believe.
VERDICT
Don't buy the hot streak. Peralta will frustrate you more often than not and you are better off find a guy who can go out there and put up some consistent numbers for you throughout the season, even if it means sacrificing the power numbers he puts up.
OF Carlos Gonzalez
A young player on Oakland... HE MUST BE GOOD! This far Gonzalez has 19AB in the bigs has not done anything overly impressive to warrant him being added like he has been. The A's are getting ready for OF Ryan Sweeney to get healthy at which point either Gonzalez or Travis Buck will be bound for AAA. At this point I think Gonzalez will be the one headed back down because Buck has more experience and given the early indications Gonzo could use a bit more seasoning.
VERDICT
Maybe down the road, but not yet. Perhaps in September or August as a late season call up depending on where Oakland is in the standings at that point in time.
Marcus Thames
Has it gotten this bad for added outfielders? Thames is nothing more than a guy who can deliver cheap power. Low batting average, not a lot of RBI, and will have to do something to impress Jim Leyland if he wants to stay in the line up. He did hit 2HR in a game last week, but other than that there isn't a whole lot going on for him.
VERDICT
I know he is a hitter on Detroit and people have fallen in love with that line up, but please in this case it's nothing to get excited about.
Cody Ross
Speaking of cheap power... Ross had a remarkable May, managing only 14 hits, but 10 of those hits managed to leave the ballpark. For the majority of his career, Ross has only managed fill in duty and the power display he put on in May helped earn him a bit more playing time, which helped his numbers a bit.
VERDICT
It is a nice story, but this seems more Shane Spencer than Sammy Sosa. If he was going to hit 10HR every month it would be one thing, but this power was way to fluky and in no way is demonstrative of what he has done throughout the course of his career. Stay away and don't bother.
On The Mound...
Justin Masterson
With Daisuke Matsuzaka on the shelf for a bit, Masterson gets the call from the minor leagues and of course as a Red Sock with limited experience he is pitching like a seasoned veteran. It is not exactly sure how many more starts Masterson will actually get, as it depends on the ability of Clay Buccholz and Matsuzaka to get healthy and get back into the rotation.
VERDICT
If you have unlimited roster moves he might be a good bet to ride while he is hot. If you are limited or already have a full staff, don't bother, he won't be around in the majors that much longer.
Homer Bailey
Cincinnati's most coveted and hyped pitching prospect makes his debut Thusday, playing at Philadelphia. Let me repeat, young pitcher, coming up to the majors for his first start of the season, AT PHILADELPHIA.
VERDICT
He has enough talent to merit an addition to most fantasy squads in most leagues. However, I would not go near having him start in his big league debut against Philly. Grab him and stash him so you can see what you will potentially get out of him down the road.
Rafael Soriano
With John Smoltz being lost to the DL for the rest of the season, someone has to close in the ATL. Soriano was the closer early in the season, but after one save he wound up in a familiar place, on the DL nursing elbow soreness. After locking down two saves it appeared Soriano had turned the corner; however, he was unable to pitch this weekend due to elbow tendinitis.
VERDICT
Manny Acosta did a fine job of blowing the lead and the game on Wednesday, so don't expect to see him get the ball in any pressure situations any time soon. Soriano has said he just needs a few days to rest and will return for week 11. He will close, so long as he is healthy. Keep an eye on Mike Gonzalez who's return is getting cl0ser.
Dan Wheeler/ Salomon Torres
Wheeler will get save opportunities while Troy Percival remains on the shelf. Torres will get save opportunities while Eric Gagne remains on the shelf, and will probably continue to do so afterward as well.
VERDICT
Torres is probably the better bet to be closing a month or two from now, so if you have to choose between the two, go with him.
Joel Zumaya
The once dominant set up man was beset by injuries in 2007 and so far in the beginning of 2008. He has been rehabbing his arm and in his last appearance he touched 100MPH on the gun, something many thought he might never do again.
VERDICT
Could be a great source of ERA, WHP and Ks for your fantasy team. Todd Jones is pretty well entrenched in the closer's role there, so don't expect him to take any chances away from him.
Sunday, June 8, 2008
Top Pickups Around The Diamond & On the Mound - 6/8/08
Sunday, May 25, 2008
Top Pick Ups Around The Diamond- Week 9
C- Miguel Olivo
Hitting .290, with 6HR, 11R, and 19RBI will get you noticed. The Royal's offense is sputtering and they need bats with some life in them in the line up and that is exactly what Olivo is providing right now. Olivo has his 16HR in each of the past two seasons, playing in one of the toughest hitter's parks in all of baseball, so the 6HR is no fluke, the power is legit.
His batting average is roughly 30-40 points higher than it should be, so expect that to come down a bit, as Olivo's season will have some ups and downs. Another problem he could run into is the fact that KC still has John Buck waiting in the wings to reclaim his starting role, despite the fact he has never lived up to his billing as a slugger.
FSE VERDICT- He will post numbers comparable, if not better than what he was doing with Florida. Of course, he will need to keep hitting to stay in the line up and a slump or two could cost him serous at bats. Get him if you don't have a limit of adds for the season, and are desperate for help at catcher.
1B- Lyle Overbay
Has been around for a while now, and for a few seasons was a hot name around draft time, but he has never really done anything to distinguish himself in fantasy. Of course, that could be a good thing or a bad thing. He manages to put up decent numbers almost every season with about 18HR and a batting average that hits .300 when he is healthy. On the other had, he has never driven in 100 RBI and really doesn't offer the type of power you'd like to see from a 1B.
FSE VERDICT- If your 1B is hurt of named "Carlo Delgado," Overbay could be a decent fit to fill the gap until your starter gets back or is euthanized. Don't go out of your way to add him, and if he is your starting 1B, you should probably look to add a power bat to make up for his lack of pop.
2B/3B/SS- Maicer Izturis
If you've read my previous articles then you know I like utility infielders for their versatility in fantasy. Izturis isn't of to a great start, but with Erick Aybar and Howie Kendrick both on the DL the Angels are turning to Izturiz on an everyday basis to man in the middle infield.
Izturis can hit a bit and when all is said and done should finish the season at about .270 or .280 with 5 HR and 15-20 stolen bases if he can keep getting at bats. Good numbers for a utility infielder, which is what he is.
FSE VERDICT- As with many guys on this list, Izturis is only good if you have an injury and need a guy to fill in. He doesn't produce enough runs, or hit with enough power to be a viable addition for the rest of the season.
3B/2B/ SS- Ramon Vazquez
Came in to play 3B when Hank Blalock went down and hit so well, Blalock will move to 1B when he returns from the DL. The move makes sense as 1B has been a hole for Texas all season and this is a way for them to get a 1B without having to go outside of the organization.
If Vazquez were to blow his knee out tomorrow and be done for the season on May 28, this would still be considered a "career season" for him. He is hitting .351, with 2HR, 16R and 11RBI, and with Blalock moving, it looks like he will be the 3B going forward.
FSE VERDICT- All that being said he is still 31 going on 32 in August and has no track record of being this productive over the long haul. Someone will grab him in your league, and that doesn't mean it should be you. Don't bother to take a flier on him. Players are career utility infielders for a reason.
OF- Ryan Spilborghs
I like this guy a lot. He has been able to post solid numbers in limited at bats over the last few seasons, but has never gotten an everyday shot because Colorado is already has a stacked outfield. Well with Brad Hawpe and now Matt Holliday going down with injuries Spilborghs will see consistent at bats for at least the next 15 days.
He is a decent power/speed threat, can hit for average and knows how to draw a walk. He has the components to be a successful player, it is just a matter of that playing out when getting everyday at bats.
FSE VERDICT- If you have room on your roster, or are missing Hawpe or Holliday he is certainly worth a look. Stash him there if you like, and see if he keeps getting at bats during the course of the season.
OF- Joey Gathright
One of the fastest men in the big leagues, Gathright has been on the field inconsistently this season for the Royals. But, much like Miguel Olivo, Gathright will be seeing more playing time as the Royals are starved to get their offense going and want Gathright to provide a spark with his speed at the bottom of the line up.
Gathright has serious speed and even if he can't get his batting average up to a respectable .280-.290, he will still be good for 40 stolen bases. Right now he has stolen 13/15, and that is without playing on an everyday basis, and receiving inconsistent playing time.
FSE VERDICT- This is a classic, one tool player. If you need that tool then he is your man. If you don't he is worthless and not worth a look. I recently grabbed him in a league where I am hurting for stolen bases, so I will indeed practice what I preach.
OF- Andre Ethier
With Andruw Jones down with an injured career... I mean knee, the Dodgers can finally play the outfield they should have been playing all season. Matt Kemp, Juan Pierre and this guy, Andre Ethier. Either is a young player, who needs everyday at bats to get himself going again after a slow May. He has 4HR and 2SB on the season and an AVG at .288.
He had a very successful April and with everyday at bats he can certainly get his groove back and begin to post solid numbers again.
FSE VERDICT- I like him.
Tuesday, May 20, 2008
Top Pickups Around the Diamond- Week 8
C- Mike Napoli
We might really have something here. Napoli plays on a good offensive team and is getting the man's share of starts behind the plate. Surprisingly enough he leads the team in HR with 10, already matching his total from a season ago. While he is currently on pace to hit 35HR, it is doubtful he will be able to keep up his early run. Look for something closer to 25-30HR, still a very good total for a catcher.
He hit 6HR in April, but only batted a paltry .212. Thus far in May Napoli has 4HR and is hitting .324, with 12RBI. Don't expect a batting average like that for the rest of the season, his track record suggests he is more of a .250-.260hitter, but the power is no fluke and will be there at the end.
FSE VERDICT- I think I just talked myself into liking him. Go out there and get him, he'll have the power numbers by the end of the season to make him worth it.
1B- Dmitri Young
DA MEAT HOOK! An old favroite here at FSE, Young is on his way to play himself back into everyday at bats at 1B, while Nick Johnson is on the DL. He was the DH for a few days, while he tied to get his swing back, and on Tuesday was penciled into the 4hole in the line up.
Young had a bounce back season last year hitting .320 with 13HR and 74RBI. Credit the
Nats for taking a risk on in 2007, but do not expect that kind of production again in 2008. Dmitri will play decently enough, but he was hurt at the end of last season and was banged up early this season. The injuries will certainly hinder Young at the plate, as they are beginning to pile up quickly and with his large frame, and aging body (35 in October), Young will have a tougher and tougher time staying out on the field.
FSE VERDICT- We like Young the baseball player. We DO NOT recommend Young the fantasy baseball player. Keep an eye on Chris Duncan, who has been dropped in many leagues, and has more of an upside for the fantasy season going forward.
2B/3B/0F/SS?- Jerry Hairston
Interesting name here. Hairston was an underachiever for years, and over the last few seasons has found a niche as a utility man. Hairston is currently hitting .314 with 1HR and 4SB, more or less the MO of his career, with a batting average about 50 points higher than we are used to seeing.
Hairston won't hit for much power, and is certainly playing over his head right now, but at least he is playing, and that makes him a good stolen base threat. With both Alex Gonzalez and Jeff Keppinger on the DL, Hairston will get the starts at SS despite his defensive shortcomings. If isn't already eligible at SS in your league, he should be soon. I am a big fan of being able to have a guy on your roster who is eligible at so many positions, in case of off days, injury, or an anticipated day of rest for one of your regular starters.
FSE VERDICT- I don't want to overrate Hairston and make him seem better than he really is. Expect .270 with 7HR, 25SB and 50RBI if he actually continues to get starts at different spots in the line up. That being said with Keppinger and Gonzalez due back sooner or later, Hairston could see his role diminish if he is unable to keep up his current pace. Personally, I think he is worth an add in most leagues, if you are low on depth, or could use some stolen base help in the immediate future. Just don't expect him to be contributing this much come August of September.
3B- Troy Glaus
Remember when he was good? Glaus was once an elite slugger at 3B and was a lock for 35+HR and 95RBI. It looks like injuries have caught up to Glaus a bit and while he is no longer the elite slugger he once was, he is still productive and wield a dangerous bat.
Now in the NL with the St. Louis Cardinals, Glaus only has 2HR , but has managed a decent amount of RBIs so far knocking in 28, putting him on pace for 90. Not the triple digit RBI count we are use to seeing from him in the past, but still a serviceable amount for any 3B.
FSE VERDICT- I would take the risk on Glaus if he is available in your league. I think he is still getting his swing back after an injury plagued 2007. The power will comeback at some point and it might be that it takes him half of the season to get there, but it will happen.
SS- Cristian Guzman
Has hovered around that .300 make all season and looks reborn again playing with the
Nationals. He doesn't have the speed he once did early in his career, and for a few seasons he looked totally useless. However, last season (before he got hurt) and early this season Guzman looks reborn and seems as if he has regained his ability to handle the bat and be a productive player.
He is still only 30, and has scored 33Runs on the season, putting him on pace to score well over 100 this season. As an added bonus, he still might be able to go double digits in HR and SB, don't expect anything crazy, but certainly something serviceable enough in all leagues.
FSE VERDICT- Go out and get him if you need the help at SS or are hard up for Runs scored in your fantasy league.
OF- Jay Bruce
Stud center fielder and the jewel of the Reds' minor league organization. Bruce has 20/20 potential and most expect him to get the call for the major leagues in early June.
FSE VERDICT- I don't like rookie hitters and I don't like people picking them up before they are in the majors. You need players who are actually playing and putting up stats to be successful. Bruce might be able to help you in a few months, but until he is actually in the majors, I wouldn't give him any serous consideration.
OF- Jose Guillen
Similar to last season Guillen had a very slow April. There were reasons for for the slow start, one was the off season controversy of a pending 15 game suspension for purchasing steroids and HGH at various points throughout 2003- 2005. The suspension was overturned, but one could argue that the mental damage was already done to Guillen. Another reason for the slow start was that Guillen, admittedly, showed up to spring training out of shape and had to work his way into playing condition.
As the season has gone along April showers have bloomed and become May flowers for Jose who managed to become the AL's Player of the Week last week with 13RBI and 2HR. You might not like Jose Guillen the baseball player, but you have to like Jose Guillen the fantasy player.
FSE VERDICT- Guillen is a good outfield bat who will be available still in some leagues. He is definitely worth an add in most leagues, if he is still available. He might be a bit streaky, but in rotisserie leagues streaky doesn't matter, it all evens out in the end. In Head to Head leagues he might cause you a few extra week- to- week headaches so be weary of those up and down times.
OF- Matt Joyce
A developing minor league slugger has been called up to the majors by Detroit because, quite simply, there is no one else. He was getting his fair share of at bats as the DH and has now shifted to LF to in place of the oft injured Gary Sheffield. He has 4HR in only 30 at bats to go along with 5R, 6RBI and a .266average. He'll be 24 in August and still has plenty of growing and developing to do as both a hitter and major league player.
The numbers look impressive early on, and he could turn into a decent major league player. Again, I am never a big fan of rookies, but down the road I could see him being a perennial .250 with 25HR and 85RBI bat, especially playing around the caliber of players that will be in Detroit for the next few seasons.
FSE VERDICT- I have my reservations this season, but going forward I think he actually might develop into a decent fantasy player. (Note: I have no idea why I think this, I am just going with my gut.)
Quick Hits
OF- Ben Francisco
With Cleveland's offense struggling so badly they need a spark from anywhere, and Francisco is hoping to be just that. He has started 4 straight games and with a .372 batting average, is forcing the issue to be an everyday starter for the rest of the season. Go grab him if you need a quick fix, with season long production potential.
OF- Randy Winn
Always does just enough to remain on the fantasy radar. He is playing well this season and is a guy who can be a long term solution for teams in need of a decent bat. A .295average with 12HR and 20SB, are right on par with what he normally does, and should be expected again this season. He is a bit underrated, and should be available in your league as a good pick up if you need some speed.
2B- Mark Grudzielanek
Going into this season I felt that 2B was a remarkably deep position for fantasy, despite what many had believed. It is because of this that Grudzielanek doesn't get noticed in many leagues, but if you get the chance to look at his career stats, he is remarkably consistent. .3ooBA, 55RBI, 8HR, almost every season. Seeing the numbers I can't tell if those numbers are a good thing or a bad thing, but at least they are consistent.
Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Top Pick Ups Around The Diamond- Week 7
We head back around the majors and look at the most added lists in popular fantasy leagues and determine if the player is for real or not.
C- Chris Iannetta-
Has more or less taken the starting role from incumbent Yorvit Torrealba by playing well while Torrealba has struggled. Iannetta is hitting .327 with 3HR 14RBI and 8Runs scored. To be honest I expected to start writing this, glance at the numbers and give quick, "don't go nuts" review, that was until of course, I actually looked at the numbers to see that there might be something here.
He has hit for a bit more power than one could have expected, but he produced batting averages well over .300 in parts of 2006 and 2007 while in the minors. Of course the thing I like to stress is that Iannetta knows how to draw a walk and has sported an OBP of well over .400 in that same time frame.
Iannetta will have his benefits; he is hot right now, plays for a good offensive team and is getting the majority of the playing time behind the plate. Another benefit is that he is only 25 and still growing as a hitter, while Torrealba is pushing 30, and has already really, topped out as an offensive player. A negative, however, will be that Torrealba, who helped the Rockies get to the World Series last season, lingers on the bench, waiting for an Iannetta slump, so he can reclaim his starting role.
FSE VERDICT- It is appealing, but hold off for now. Keep an eye on the situation and at the very least you could have the great heads up on a sleeper at catcher for next season.
C- Paul Bako
I avoided writing this for as long as I could, but I cannot ignore the hot Bako any more. I realize it's a great story and he is having a career season, and there are even websites pushing for his birth on the All-Star team. However lets realize threethings. 1) He is 35, 2) has never played this well before and 3) He is still Paul Bako.
FSE VERDICT- Nice story early on, but so was No Country For Old Men, and we all know how that ended. A lot of weird glances, confused, angry faces who feel like they were missing something when it was all over.
1B- Joey Votto
Cincinnati's young slugger started the season in a 'the hotter hand plays' platoon with Scott Hatteburg. Soon after though, and as April turned into May Votto's early season struggles ended and he took the step forward into being the everyday starter. He is now a lock to play just about everyday at first, and will put up some solid Kevin Youkilis type numbers in his first season. As an added bonus, based on his minor league numbers, he should even be good for about 10-15SB.
FSE VERDICT- Go get him.
1B- Carlos Delgado
Probably should have sold high after his 2HR game in April, but his May stats indicate there might still be something left in his old bat. So far in 10 May games Delgado has 11H, 2HR, 5RBI, a .306AVG and a .915OPS. A positive is that at very worst, it looks like Mets will continue to give Delgado the lion's share of at bats at first base. So, he will always have the opportunity to hit in productive spots no matter how badly he is slumping or struggling.
FSE VERDICT- You still should have sold high after the 2HR game.
2B/3B- Akinori Iwamura
Has been on a tear since the beginning of May with 18H, 6RBI, and 8Runs scored. He plays on a dynamic Ray's offense, and showed the ability last season to be able to steal a base when the situation calls for it. The fact that he can fill a decent utility role on your fantasy team won't hurt any either.
FSE VERDICT- A bit streaky, but a solid addition that can fill a few spots.
3B- Blake DeWitt
Playing over his head right now, but he is hot and quite frankly there is no one else in LA to take at bats away from him. He has always hit for decent average in his minor league career, he never did anything to separate himself or make him seem like anything special. However it was his ability to stay healthy this spring that helped him nail down the starting 3B job.
FSE VERDICT- If you are hard up for a 3B you could do worse.
SS- Stephen Drew
I have got to be honest I realize scouts and baseball people know a lot more about talent and upside than I do, but I am going with my gut. I don't like Drew all that much. He, at best will end up being serviceable, but right now he isn't even there yet. He has hit for decent power for a SS this season with 4HR already and 14RBI to go along with 21Runs. He plays on the dynamic D-Backs offense, so he should have some decent numbers by default. But please do not expect the All-Star top SS projections some keep predicting for him.
FSE VERDICT- You can play the upside game, but I'll play the reality game. He isn't worth it.
SS- Jeff Keppinger
Just broke his kneecap (5/13). See you in 4-6 weeks.
FSE VERDICT- Still better than Juan Uribe
OF- Garret Anderson
Was underrated for years and when he finally started getting fantasy love became brittle and injury ridden. In my opinion he has once again become underrated and is worth owning in most leagues. You must keep an eye on him and the injury list in your league if you own him, but he puts up numbers that can make it worth it, especially if he is a FA in your league.
Right now, he is on pace for 20HR and 89RBI, which aren't the All-Star numbers we remember from years past, but are as solid and consistent as you will find as FA in most leagues.
I like him a bit more than our next guy because of his history of being a consistent power threat and because he can hide in the DH's spot if he gets banged up at any point during the season.
FSE VERDICT- Is a fine addition if you have some banged up bodies in the outfield and need some offense.
OF- Mark Kotsay
Has hit over .300 just once in his career, doesn't hit for power, doesn't steal many bases, has a bad back, and yet because he played in Oakland and replaced Andrew Jones in Atlanta, people get confused and think he is good. He is off to a hot start in the ATL, but don't fall for it and think this is the start of something good and that he will be able to continue it throughout the season. Even if he keeps up his numbers he is still on pace for only 72R, 13 HR and 81RBI, to go along with a .300AVG. Keep in mind that is assuming everything breaks right, and his chronic back injuries of years don't flare up again.
FSE VERDICT- If you can't tell I have nothing nice to say about him.
OF- Carlos Gomez
He has shown tremendous speed already having 16SB on the season and has managed to be a spark plug on a rather otherwise stagnant Twins offense by scoring 21Runs and has even added a bit of pop with 2HR. The batting average is only at .268 so far, and actually think it will go down before it goes up further, but still the numbers across the board will be nothing to frown at.
He is still only 22 and from what people in the Twins organization say he is still raw as a player, but isa good listener and has grown in leaps and bounds sinse spring training began. He will continue to grow as a player throughout the course of this season, but don't be surprised if that doesn't show its greatest reflection on his production until next season.
FSE VERDICT- Like him a lot this season, if he is not already owned in your league. Love him in your 2009 draft.
Tuesday, May 6, 2008
Top Pickups Around the Diamond - Week 6
When I was in high school, I remember my economics teacher described the stock market like tapping a keg. Every so often you get stocks that are over valued and they are like the initial froth that you get from a keg. Then as you get into the keg you start getting more pure beer without the useless froth. This is equivalent to the stocks that are for real and will continue to appreciate in value.
What I'm getting at is that we are entering the portion of the fantasy baseball season where it's time to get rid of the froth. The good players are more than likely owned and most of the underachieving players have already been dumped. Every week I look at roster trends and it gets tougher and tougher to find names without recycling old ones. That being said lets take a look at what is out there:
Jeff Clement- Comes to the majors hitting .397 with 5 HR and 20 RBI, after having a fine 2007 campaign that featured him slugging 20HR. The Mariners are starved for offense and will probably wind up giving Clement a shot a shot to impress as the everyday DH, and to occasionally spell Kenji Johjima behind the plate.
To me it is a bit strange to hand over the DH duties to a young player who is not used to DHing on the major league level. To the outside observer, the DH position appears to be an easy task that merely involves going to the plate 4 times and trying hit a baseball. For young players however, the switch from being on the field all the time to being a player who sits around and then is expected to hit is a challenge. They have trouble remaining focused on the game and keeping up their competitive juices.
A decent idea might be to move him over to 1B and try to find him some at bats there. Clement won't get behind the plate consistently enough because Kenji is a formidable starter and just signed a 3 year extension. First base for Seattle is currently manned by Richie Sexson and Jose Vidro. One is an automatic out, the other is an automatic out with sporadic power, who strikes out too much.
I wouldn't get too excited over Clement quite yet. A catcher who will DH everyday would be great in most leagues because it means less days off and more at bats and potential days to put up stats. That being said I think Seattle has to go out and get a real veteran bat who can handle major league pitching. The acquisition of Erik Bedard in the offseason signaled that the Mariners are in win-now mode. Yet despite one of the best 1-2 starting pitching combos in baseball, they have underachieved thus far because they can't score any runs.
I know talk is cheap and there really aren't rumors or article to justify me saying this other than my gut, but I think Seattle needs to go out and get Barry Bonds. That line up needs an overhaul, and Bonds is a guy who can single handedly change the dynamic of a line up.
Yadier Molina- Molina is hot right now and has always been considered the most talented of the Molina brothers, causing many owners to go out and grab him. But even with the hot streak Molina is only on pace for 10HR and 50RBI to go along with an average in the .270s. In other words he is in line with his career averages and on pace to be a mediocre fantasy option yet again.
First Base
Aubrey Huff- He is hot right now so he cracked the list. Huff is prone to these hot and cold streaks, but if you are in a league with unlimited adds, then he is worth the grab while he is hot. Huff should be good for 20HR, despite the fact that his power numbers have steadily been declining since 2003. He bottomed out with 15HR last season, yet has 5 already this year and looks primed or a rebound season. Look for 20-25HR max with 75RBI if things break right. He is a solid add if you are hard up for some cheap pop or a 1B
Second Base
Howie Kendrick- I have been a big fa Kendrick for a while now, yet he has shown to be a bit injury prone thus far in his young career. Hopefully he has gotten the injury bug over with for this season and can go on to have another fine season as he did last year. He has missed roughly a month so still has the potential to muster 450 at bats and hit .320AVG with 10HR and a few stolen bases along the way.
I would be shocked if he were available in many leagues still, but if he is go out and grab him. He is a stud who can handle the bat with the best of them.
Third Base
Jose Bautista- Talented player who has underachieved for years and is once again giving fantasy owners a reason to believe. Bautista is 27 this season, so perhaps he got the memo that this is supposed to be his hitting prime a good time to have a career season. He can draw a walk and can hit for a bit over power and is worth an add in deeper leagues.
Despite his recent hot streak, keep in mind that the majority of his stats this season have come in the span of 2 games, on May 2nd and May 3rd, where he went 5/8 with 3HR and 7RBI. Go and get him if you need a 3B, that Pittsburgh line up has been awful and if he can continue to hit they may put him in the middle of the line up; adding to his value.
Shortstop
No one worth mentioning this week, check out the archive for some add ideas. I could write up Brendan Harris, but my keyboard would get mad at me.
Super Utility Man (1B, 2B, 3B)
Outfield
I would stay away from young Wladimir this early in his young career. Rookies can be too streaky and really look over matched and struggle for periods of time. He will hit about 15 or so HR, but expect a low batting average and with the Mariner's line up being what it is don't look for a tone of run support or men on base to drive in. Bottom line, I don't like it.
Jack Cust- WE'RE GOING STREAKING! He had an awful April and was being dumped in many leagues. He is hot now and clubbing HR like it is 2007 again. If he was dropped in your league go out and grab him. He never lost his batter's eye and was able to draw a walk even while he wasn't going well, so the talent never left, just his ability to put a good swing on the ball, and make consistent contact.
Emil Brown- I tried to avoid him for as long as I could, but he is having a good season and can't be ignored any longer. He seems to be making solid contributions in all parts of the game with 19R, 26RBI, 3HR and 1SB. Brown is 33, so I doubt he has become that much better of a player in the course of the last year or so. It looks like Brown was hot in the beginning of the season, as he is on pace to have 127RBI, almost 40 more than he previous high. For a player at this age, with his mediocre power, it just doesn't seem possible for him to keep up these kind of numbers. Don't buy the numbers and if you own him, sell high to some sucker who don't bother to check his resume.
Barry Bonds- He really isn't on any most added list, but I got a feeling. With Seattle and Detroit both struggling to score runs, it only seems like a matter of time. Gary Sheffield returned to the outfield on Monday night at his own request, but that could open up the door for Bonds to comeback and split time between DH and LF with Sheffield.
Seattle has Jose Vidro and Richie Sexson at DH and both are just playing horrifically. To be a legit team they will need to do something to spark the line up and while everyone wants to avoid Bonds, he is the elephant in the middle of the FA hitter's market.
Even in Toronto there are people who say there are advantages to a Bonds signing. They need some spark in that line up to help take some pressure of of Alex Rios and Vernon Wells. Bonds could be the everyday DH there and that would enable Matt Stairs to go back to the being in the super utility role that he has thrived in for the past couple seasons.
For years people have gone out of their way to stash Roger Clemens on their bench while they waited for him to come back and start the season in late May or June. It could be a similar scenario playing out with Bonds for this season.
Criminal proceedings and perjury charges aside he can still hit and his off the field issues, won't be creeping up on him until after the season. Any team that takes a chance on him will have to deal with the initial media bonanza, but after a few weeks it'll die down and be about baseball again. It could be worth the investment for a few struggling teams who both had much higher expectations going into the season.
Tuesday, April 29, 2008
Top Pickups Around the Diamond- Week 5
C- Jarrod Saltalmacchia- The young slugging catcher came up last season for the Braves and saw some good results. Following his trade to Texas for Mark Teixeira, Salty struggled a bit, but picked it up late and put up some respectable fantasy numbers. Salty can hit for power and draw a walk and once he gets enough at bats at the major league level the batting average will come around also. He is a 25-30HR bat waiting to happen, he just needs the chance. Many were surprised he didn't get that chance in 2008, but Gerald Laird won the catcher's job out of spring training outright and Salty was sent down the AAA for seasoning and to work on his defense.
Salty has been brought back to the majors and is going to be splitting time with Laird behind the plate in a bit of a surprise move. By many scouts accounts Salty's best place to play on the diamond would be 1B, because at 6'4" they feel his hight hurts him defensively. Another reason why 1B would be best for Salty to play is because with Laird behind the dish Texas already has a serviceable offensive and defensive catcher, and in reality on the days when Salty plays there it hurts the team defensively.
Right now, while it would be great to add such an offensive threat behind the plate, Salty isn't playing everyday and no matter how good he is or will be it's not worth it to add him, unless Texas trades Laird. Of course with Ben Broussard manning 1B for the Rangers I think a move to first makes a bit more sense. Broussard isn't the type of bat a team can build around, and he has proved himself over the course of his career to not be an everyday player, but rather a journeyman with some pop. Keep your eye on Salty, but right now, he isn't worth adding unless Texas does something to get him more playing time.
C-Dioner Navarro- After a good second half to his 2007 season Navarro was a hot sleeper at catcher going into most 2008 fantasy drafts. That blew up pretty quickly when Navarro wound up on the 15 day DL after needing stitches in his right middle and ring finger following a fluke fall at Yankee Stadium. Navarro is back and hitting like the player most think he can become.
On the season Navarro is hitting .416 in 24 at bats, with 5R and 4RBI and only 2strikeouts. There are still many things to like about Dioner. First off he is a switch hitter who knows how to draw a walk. Though he has struggled to get the bat going in previous years, his OBP was always at least 50-70 points higher than his batting average. The ability to draw a walk means a player can stay out of prolonged slumps and still do some damage on the base paths. Another thing to like about him is that he is only 24, so is still developing as a hitter and has room to grow in that part of the game.
If given the choice between the two, I would definitely take Dioner. He is playing everyday, and is in a better, more energetic line up in Tampa. This might change a bit if Salty can get everyday at bats somehow, but until then go get Dioner if you are hard up for a catcher.
1B- Eric Hinske- You can try and sell Hinske to me, but I am not buying it. Hinske has offered Tampa some vercitility this season and has seen time at 3B, 1B and OF. He is hitting .292 with 5HR, 12R and 13RBI, and is off to his best start since his rookie season when he hit 24HR with 13SB. His numbers since his rookie season have done nothing, but steadily regress as a hitter. I do not understand how a player can get worse and worse over the course of 5 years and then all of a sudden refine himself at the age of 30 and become an impact player again. Hinske is hot, but he won't keep this pace up all season. Expect a max of 15HR with 50RBI, Hinske is a fine role player now, but thats all. Don't get caught up in the early season numbers and a hot streak and confuse that with a player who is ready to produce for the long haul of a major league season.
2B/SS-Felipe Lopez- A few seasons ago with the Reds Lopez looked like a prime breakout candidate, who looked like he was ready to become a solid fantasy option for years. He could steal a base, hit a HR here and there and score runs. Then Lopez was traded to Washington and his numbers began to steadily decrease, bottoming out when he was taken out of the lineup in favor of a Christian Guzman, Ronnie Belliard combo. The door was opened for Lopez this season when Belliard slumped early and the struggling National's lineup could not afford to have his weak bat in the lineup any longer.
On the season Lopez has 1HR, 3SB, 8R, 8RBI and 8 walks while hitting .268. The average is a bit low, but since becoming the everyday 2B Lopez is hitting .357 and seems to be enjoying playing baseball again. It looks like it took a benching for him to realize what he wold be missing, and he has really efforted to keep his starting role for the rest of the season this time. Lopez is a solid addition in most formats. His versatility makes him useful, because he can play both of the middle infield spots and in some formats he might even have outfield eligibility. He could hit as many as 15HR with 25SB a lock, if he can continue to remain focused on the game and continue his phoenix impression.
3B- Edwin Encarnacion- The classic criticism of Encarnacion is that he is streaky, makes a lot of errors and hasn't been able to keep a firm hold of the starting 3B job in Cincy despite their attempts to hand it to him. It looks like all of that is changing this season, as Encarnacion already has 6HR, with 14R, 12RBI and 13walks to go along with a .282 average. I am very high him and think he is ready to show what he can do on an everyday basis.
The biggest positive for me is the walks, he already has 13walks in 2008, as compared to the 39 he had in all of the 2007 season. The power is legit and Encarnacion even adds another unique stat that most 3B don't because he can steal a bag, and might finish with about 10 or so for the season.
Go out and get him if someone in your league hasn't taken him yet. He will be a bit streaky, which will hurt his value in head-to-head leagues, but in rotisserie, the numbers all even out by the end of the season, so his value will be even greater.
2B/SS- Ryan Theriot- I have never been sold on Theriot, but he is scrappy player who can hit a little, steal a base and really adds a spark to the Cubs' line up. Lou Piniella really likes what he can do, so he will have no problem staying in the lineup on a daily basis. He offers little in the power department, and is prone to hot and cold streaks. He does have that 2B/SS eligibility like Lopez does which is really helpful in fantasy, incase you need to plug him into of those spots because of injury or trade.
If you need 2B Theriot offers a solid speed and run scoring combination. There is a decent chance he is already taken in your league, but if he is available go out a grab him. If you want to compare him to Felipe Lopez, I like Lopez's upside more, as he can hit for more power, but Theriot might be the safer bet as far as speed and playing time goes.
OF- Jayson Werth- Been around for a while now, and while he's never been a spectacular addition before, it's time to see if he is really Werth adding. He has been getting everyday play while Shane Victorino has been on the shelf with a bad calf. In a five game span from the 21st through the 25th Werth hit 4HR, 6RBI and 8R, making him easily the hottest player in the game, for both reality and fantasy. It was one of those streaks that can single handedly ruin an opponent's week, of course if your team actually owned Jayson Werth at the time, chances are it wasn't that good before hand the hot streak was really needed.
Don't go crazy for Werth, he is a decent player, he is not a good fantasy player. He is really a utility outfielder who went on a hot streak, and will come back down to Earth sooner and not later. Don't go out of your way to add him, he won't be Werth it in a week.
OF- Adam Lind- Toronto's top hitting prospect struggled a bit in his 2007 time in the majors and started the 2008 season in the minors. He was called up to more or less replace Frank Thomas's bat in the lineup, so no pressure there. Lind is going to be handed an everyday spot in the Toronto lineup and has been hitting the cover off of the ball in AAA, so I like his chances to succeed on the major league level in 2008. Generally when a young player has some time in the minor leagues to start the season they develop good habits at the plate and bring that with them when they are called up to the major leagues.
Tuesday, April 22, 2008
Top Pick Ups Around The Diamond - Week 4
C- Kurt Suzuki- Never hit for great average in the minors, but in classic Oakland A's fashion showed he know how to take a pitch and work a walk. Early on this season Suzuki has hit for average and is playing so well that the A's recently hit him lead off, a true rarity for a catcher. Suzuki is playing a bit over his head right now, but he'll be out there almost everyday, so he'll be able to accumulate decent enough stats for the rest of the season. He won't put up any elite numbers, and will probably finish in the middle of the pack for fantasy catchers.
1B- Joey Votto- We said before the season that this was a unique1 1B because he could hit a HR and steal a bag. Votto really struggled the first few weeks, but has turned it on recently and really found his hitting stroke. This is the type of 1B who we really like for the rest of the season to deliver consistent stats on a weekly basis and will be able to help your team with a variety of different stats across all 5 hitting categories. He won't have great power numbers, but will make up for it with SB and a solid AVG.
2B- Kazuo Matsui- Matsui underachieved for the Mets for a few seasons and then was dealt to the Rockies where he managed to turn a solid post season into another big money contract. It's amazing Matsui has not yet been busted for robbery as this will continue his trend of stealing money from major league teams. The Astro's offense will be decent and if Matsui is hitting he can blend right in, but he has shown in the past that he is injury prone and streaky. Those are not great characteristics of a trustworthy fantasy player.
3B- Brandon Wood- I have no idea why he is here, as he is not even in the majors yet. When he is finally allowed to hit on the major league level he will become an 80's type slugger. Look for good power, big K's and .250AVG .
SS- Bobby Crosby- He is hot and I wanted to ignore him but I can't because he is one of the top added SS in all fantasy leagues. I don't like Crosby. At some point he will get hurt, and he is mostly a production of the Oakland A's minor league hype machine, that over rates players to make them more appealing to other major league teams. For a time Oakland had a good run of fine prospects who turned into great major leaguers, but recently the trend has shifted a bit. Crosby, while he can hit, is never healthy enough to do it on a prolonged basis. Best case scenario, pick him up while he is hot and sell high.
OF- Carlos Quentin- One of the many D-Back's outfielders who had a tremendous amount of tools in the shed, but unfortunately couldn't put it together in Arizona. This season Quentin is playing everyday in the Chicago White Sox outfield and has started off hot. While batting only .24o, he does have 14R and 15RBI to go along with 4HR.
One thing I like about Quentin is that he knows how to draw a walk and get on base. Throughout his minor league career and into the majors Quentin has has gotten on base at about a .100 higher rate than his batting average alone shows. The ability to draw a walk really helps a player avoid hot and cold streaks and is paramount for putting up consistent stats throughout the season.
Another positive is that he plays on a very good offensive team in Chicago, so if he is on base there is a decent chance someone will be able to drive him in. He spends most of his time hitting in the 7hole, but could move up in the order if he keeps this production up throughout the season. While there is a lot to like with Quentin, I would add him if I were in a deep league and really needed the offensive boost for my outfield.
OF- Milton Bradley- For years Bradley has been an underachieving head case, who couldn't find a home. More recently however, Bradley has become an achieving head case, who can't find a home. I think for the most part Bradley has yet to reach his potential as a hitter because he is always battling nagging injuries that hurt him at the dish. Last season for the Padres Bradley carried the offense and really was the difference maker in the line up, which is why it hurt them so much when he went down with a bizarre knee injury.
DHing everyday will be good for Bradley. When healthy he plays a very fine outfield, but the problem is Bradley's inability to stay healthy for a prolonged time. I saw he was in left field for the Rangers the other day, and I don't care how good he says he feels, he has no business being out there if the Rangers want the best contribution they can get from him over the course of the season. He is worth a look and grab in all leagues, he is hot and looks healthy for now. Hopefully Ron Washington doesn't feel frisky any more and keeps Bradley in the DH spot where he won't have to worry about the wear and tear of playing the outfield everyday.
OF- Ryan Church- Church was becoming known as more of a platoon guy who wasn't trusted to hit against lefties in Washington, but played a good outfield and could always do enough with the bat to stay productive. With the Mets Church has been moved to the 2 hole in the order recently and has really thrived in the move. He has been walking more and has scored 17R on the season so far, but 7 of those have come in the last week since the move in the batting order.
The move to the 2hole also helps Church because it doesn't force him to try and do too much. In Washington he spend the majority of his at bats in the 4, 5, 6 spots in the line up, where there is more pressure to hit HR and drive in RBIs. In the 2hole Church can just focus on making solid contact and getting on base. The Mets are going to keep Church in the right field and it looks like he is going to play against lefties and righties, both of whom he is mashing against. Go out and get him, he looks like a solid add in all formats.
Thursday, April 17, 2008
Fantasy Baseball Pickups Around The Diamond - Week 3
Catcher
Mike Napoli- The Anaheim catcher has hit 2HR with 5RBI in his last 4 games and has a mini-hot streak going. In fact, thus far this season Napoli leads all catchers with 4HR. While Napoli has good power he doesn't hit for great average, which doesn't really fit that classic Anaheim Angel contact hitting identity. His other major problem is that Jeff Mathis is starting to take some starts for him as he is scorching hot right now. Of the two, Napoli has the better power and is considered the starter, yet Mathis has still managed to start 3 games this week, an awful lot for a back up. Bottom line in this situation is don't be fooled into thinking either are good fantasy option just because they play on a good team. Both are streaky and while Napoli has decent power, his at bats and starts are too inconsistent to trust for a full time fantasy gig.
Ryan Doumit- He was penciled in to back up Ronny Paulino, but apparently his bat didn't get that memo. Doumit has been hitting all season and boasts a BA of .341 to go along with 2HR and 7 runs scored. The negative is that he only has 4RBI and 1BB on the season, to go along with those numbers. Doumit's ability to hit has never been questioned and it has seemed like that for years the Pirates have tried to find a place for him. Keep an eye on Doumit, while he has only played games at catcher this season, he has played some outfield and first base in his career, so if he continues to hit, the Pirates will be forced to keep finding him a position to hit in.
FSE's Take- Don't go crazy over either player yet. Look for Doumit to get more at bats as he can play 1B and the OF in a pinch and is a more important part of the Pirates line up than Napoli is for Anaheim.
First Base
Mike Jacobs - We have seen this before from Jacobs. He shows flashes of brilliance and looks like a star in the making and then he gets hurt and fails to take his numbers to the next level. He has never hit more than 20HR in a season or batted over .265AVG in his career as a full time starter. If you are struggling for offense at 1B or need an extra bat, grab Jacobs. He is very hot right now, and you might as well ride that and benefit from it. I doubt he goes on to have a huge season or maintains the early HR pace that he has established but, he is hot and has been tearing the cover off of the ball. Grab him now, while he is still hot, and either try to trade him for value, or keep a careful eye on hi stats and look for that initial cold streak and dump him for another hot player.
Casey Kotchman- Young player who is entering his second full season as an everyday player this season and is really beginning to blossom as a hitter. Last season Kotchman showed he could hit for AVG, but really lacked in the power department. This season he already has 4HR after having 12HR in all of the 2007 season to go along with a .344AVG. The power numbers are a bit deceiving early on, but expect roughly 20HR to go along with a .310AVG. He is a fine pick up in all fantasy formats because he is more than just a guy on a hot streak.
Conor Jackson- Has been around a while for a young player, but Jackson finally looks primed to put up solid numbers for a 1B this season. Jackson hit .290AVG with 15HR and 79RBI in 2006 and then regressed a bit in 2007 hitting .284 with 15HR and 60RBI. While the numbers don't show a total regression, they don't show a good progression that you like to see from a young player. Another problem was that in both of these seasons Arizona never gave Jackson 500+ at bats and he always seemed to lose playing time in crucial times to aging veterans. Jackson will have a fine season and even if he doesn't hit over 20HR, is surrounded by a young and exciting line up so he will have plenty of RBI opportunities. He isn't an elite 1B option, but he will put up fine numbers this year, as he finally looks to have a strangle hold on the starting spot.
FSE's Take- I would rank these first basemen in the following order: Kotchman, Jackson, Jacobs. The first 2 could be interchangeable but I have a better feeling about Kotchman for the 2008 season than I do Jackson. Jacobs has the most upside as far as power goes, but he is also the biggest injury risk.
Second Base
Not a ton going on here...
Orlando Hudson- Another member of the high octane D-Backs' offense, Hudson has been around a while and has turned into a viable fantasy option over the last couple of seasons. The best way to describe Hudson in cliche form: "He doesn't do anything great, but he does a lot things well enough to stay productive." Basically, he posts decent enough numbers in all parts of the game to make him a decent player. Look at his 2007 numbers, .294AVG, 10HR, 10SB, 69R, 63RBI, .351OBP. Again nothing crazy, and none of the numbers jump out at you, but across the board they are respectable enough to use in deep leagues and is consistent enough to use over the course of a season.
Third Base
Evan Longoria- The Ray's hot 3B prospect was expected to crack the Major League roster out of spring training. Well he didn't and it was big news, but the stay in AAA was short and he has found himself back in the majors in a little under 3 weeks. Longoria will hit, and reminds me of a young Eric Chavez - a guy who can hit for power and AVG and carry an offense when he is going well. I don't think that fantasy owners can expect that quite yet, but 15HR and 65-70RBI are not totally out of the question. Expect to see some ups and downs from Longoria this season, as he is still rookie seeing his first major league time.
Nomar Garciaparra- This old gag. He was activated off the DL early and people saw the name "Nomar Garciaparra" and overreacted. Nomar is no longer a good player. He has lost his power stroke and is not a reliable RBI guy. While he has managed to stay on the field a bit more in the last few seasons, it doesn't really matter because he is no longer a viable fantasy option. Let some other sucker take a flier on Nomar as you would be better off trying a guy like Longoria with better upside and power potential. Nomar is also less of a threat to get consistent at bats because the Dodgers will wind up with a small log jam at 3B once Andy LaRoche comes back.
FSE's Take- Longoria is clearly going to be a better player for this season and seasons going forward. Please do not fall into the "name game," judging players on past accomplishments rather than what they are doing this season.
Shortstop
Erick Aybar- Had a mini hit streak going with 9 hits in 5 days and managed to steal a couple of bags along the way, which is the best you can hope for from Aybar. He is currently going to see the bulk of at bats at SS for the next week or so while Maicer Izturis fills in for the injured Howie Kendrick. I am not a big Ayabar fan as it seems like the only thing he does well is steal bases and he doesn't exactly get on base enough to do that consistently because he doesn't draw a lot of walks. He has stolen 2 bases in this period, and if that's what you need he can be helpful, but I wouldn't go too crazy here. A lot of times guys like this get overrated because of the team they are on and their history of bringing up successful players, when in all actuality he isn't that good.
Outfield
Ryan Ludwick- A career minor leaguer, the 30-year-old is finally getting his shot to play with the Cardinals this season and is making the most of it. The difficulty for him will be staying hot with the bat so he can fend off Skip Schumaker for the majority of playing time in the outfield. While Ludwick is hot right now, I would avoid grabbing him if you are in a league with a maximum adds limit. His inconsistent playing time is a concern, as is the fact that he has never had a full major league season under his belt.
Nate McLouth- Love this guy. He can hit a HR and steal a bag on any given night, already has reached double digits in RBI and runs, and has fought off a small of army of players who were trying to take the CF job from him in spring training. While his batting average should go down, I think McLouth has the ability to maintain his current production because he can draw a walk and get on base. Considering he plays on the Pirates these numbers are all the more awe inspiring.
FSE's Take- Go out and grab him. He will be a solid player, barring injury or the Pirates organization doing something inexplicably stupid. Unfortunately with the Pirates, the latter is a strong possibility.
Jeremy Hermida- Was quickly gaining "That old gag" status as he seemed like a highly touted prospect with power and speed destined to flame out without doing much. But in the second half of last season he showed himself to be a fine player, and a good RBI bat. He came into this season as a highly touted sleeper who had many excited with his strong spring training. He then proceeded to do what cost him his once elite prospect status; he got hurt and missed time. Hermida is back now and swinging a good bat and is quickly back on the most adds bandwagon. I like Hermida and I think he still can be a fine fantasy player. However, the injury factor scares me a bit, and I will go to my grave saying, "You need healthy players to win in fantasy." Avoid Hermida, unless you desperately need the OF help and are in a very deep league.
Do you think we forgot anyone? We are sure there are some players who we left out. Send us your feedback and tell us who we felt we slighted and we'll do out best to get to your response and comments.
Tuesday, April 8, 2008
Fantasy Baseball Pickups Around The Diamond - Week 2
First Base
Nick Johnson - Nick can draw a walk and hitting 3rd in the Nationals pesky line up will give him plenty of RBI opportunities as well. He has never been a tremendous power threat, but makes up for hit with his ability to hit for average. The biggest drawback of owning Johnson is that he isn't durable and is a constant threat to go down with an injury and spend sometime on the DL.
FSE's Take: If you have to pick between the Broussard and Johnson, take Johnson. He will hit for similar power as Broussard, hit for a much higher average and drive in more RBI.
Jose Lopez - The 2B showed good progress in the 2006 season hitting .281 with 10HR and a frriendly 79RBI. He went into the 2007 season as a hot sleeper name, but quickly flamed out hitting only .251 with 11HR and 62RBI, extremely mediocre numbers and unownable in fantasy. 2008 has begun a new year for Lopez and he has gotten off to a hot start. He quickly has 2HR and 7RBI on the season. The negative is that doesn't walk a whole lot, but, on the flip side he also doesn't strikeout a whole bunch either (thus far he has one of each on the young season.)
FSE's Take: If your current 2B is injured or is totally flopping give Lopez a look. He could put up some numbers similar to that of his 2006 season, with about 15HR, 75RBI and 7SB, if he has a best case scenario season. While that is nothing spectacular, it could be serviceable in most fantasy formats.
Mark DeRosa - Managed to fight off a Brian Roberts trade to keep his job as the Cubs everyday 2B gig. DeRosa has managed to hit .290+ with double digit HR and 70+ RBI in each of the last 2 seasons. He had more value in the 2007 season when he had eligibility at SS, 3B, 2B and OF, yet he enters 2008 with 2B and 3B versatility and is a fine utility guy to keep on the bench, if one of your starters has an off day or get nicked up and needs to sit a game or 2. He isn't an all star, but he is useful in deeper leagues.
Third Base
Joe Crede - Another white hot corner performer. Crede managed 4 straight seasons of 19+HR from 2003-2006. 2007 turned into a disaster for Crede as a back problem cost him most of the season. It looked as if Crede's tenure in Chi-Town was drawing to a close when Josh Fields was recalled from the minors and went on to club 20+ HR. An injury here or there and a slow spring training from Fields opened the door for Crede to return and right now Crede is taking advantage of it. Grad Crede if he is available in your league and you need a 3B. He won't be this hot all season, but .270, with 20+HR, and 80RBI are not out of the question.
Bill Hall - Isn't there yet in most leagues, but should quickly regain his 3B eligibility. Hall is another guy who had a huge 2006 and a down 2007. He managed to hit 22HR with 70RBI last season and while those aren't all star numbers, it shows that even if he has another down season like he did in 2007 he can still put up capable numbers for a 3B. I do expect Hall to have a season somewhere in between what he did in '06 and '07. Look for 27HR with 75RBI and a .270AVG.
Shortstop
Christian Guzman - Can't believe I am typing his name, but he has been hot early on and seems like he has refound the batting success he had early on in his career in Minnesota. He started 2007 off hot hitting over .320 when a thumb injury cost him his season. He is currently hitting well over .300 and while he won't hit for power, the batting average and amount of runs he will score leading off make him a potentially valuable addition. Depending on your need Guzman can be a solid asset.
Outfield
David Murphy - Getting the most playing time of his career, Murphy has started hot in Texas. Murphy spent a lot of time over the last 3 seasons bouncing up and down between AAA and AA and with the big team in Boston and now Texas, so it has been difficult to put up any sort of consistent numbers. That being said, from what I can gather, Murphy can hit a bit and a 15/15 season isn't out of the realm of possibility. He is prone to slumps because he doesn't walk much and relies on getting hits to get on base, so there will be periods of time when he is more or less useless especially i head-to-head leagues. Personally I would stay away from him and let someone else take a gamble on him.
Matt Diaz - He can hit and will hit. Don't expect great power numbers, but an average well above .300 and 80+RBIs are a near certainty. He has gone under the radar the last few seasons because he has been more of a platoon player, but Bobby Cox looks like he trusts him now and is ready for him to handle the full time load in left. Hitting in that potent Atlanta lineup will only help his potential to have a big fantasy season.
Do you think we forgot anyone? We are sure there are some players who we left out. Send us your feedback and tell us who we felt we slighted and we'll do out best to get to your response and comments.
